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Can You Trust This Man?

How many times has Donald Trump said that a deal is imminent? Each time, Wall Street falls for it with index still going up and big oil falls for it with prices going down until the next flare up.
This week, Trump pushed the idea that negotiations were finalized, and an agreement just waiting to be signed. Again, not true. There was a two hour meeting Trump had with his cabinet on Friday and he sent back the agreement to Iran with changes. Of course he did.
Iran’s parliamentary secretary, commented on the trust he has for Trump and his administration,
“The soldiers of the diplomatic battlefield have no trust in the words and promises of the enemy. What matters to us is tangible achievements that we must obtain, in exchange for which we will fulfil our commitments.”
You cannot con a con and that’s what both sides are trying to do, con the other. Donald needs an agreement of some kind that looks better than the agreement that Obama reached and Trump tore up. If he does not achieve that all this will have been for nothing at the cost of American lives and American treasury.
So given that, this will continue. Trump has said that he doesn’t care about the midterms and I believe him. It is more important that he cannot be shown to have made a mistake, in his eyes. So until something else happens, this 13 week war will continue to week 14 and on and on.
That’s all I have for today.
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Backlash

Another bad week wrapping up for Donald. A federal court judge has ruled that Trump must remove his name from the Kennedy Center.
“Congress gave the Kennedy Center its name, and only Congress can change it.”
Trump responded to this by saying he’s been treated unfairly, and,
“I have instructed the Department of Commerce to make all necessary arrangements with Congress to allow a full and complete transfer of this Institution, giving them the responsibility for its Operation, Maintenance, and Management,”
Trump’s $1.8 billion slush fund to the January 6 rioters and to friends such as Paul Manafort, Michael Lindell, and himself is facing headwinds. There were 2 Federal Court buildings on Friday, one blocking the slush fund process and another ordering Trump to respond to claims that he committed fraud in this entire process, in relation to the IRS.
Trump wants to hold a major, days, long, party to celebrate the 250 year anniversary of America’s birth. The problem is that acts lined up for the celebration have been cancelling out. So we might end up seeing days upon days of Kid Rock.
Finally, nothing has been settled with Iran. The Strait is still closed as we enter week 13 of the war. Fun times.
That is all I have for today.
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You Never Know

It was reported, the other day, that Claude Lemieux had passed away at the age of 60. Lemieux over 1200 games and had nearly 800 points. He was a better than average player and a player that fans loved to hate if he was not on your team.
He won four Stanley cups, one with Montreal, one with Colorado and two with New Jersey. He won four and he was a definite contributor in winning all four where most players are fortunate to have one Stanley Cup.
He was the torch bearer in game three of Montréal Canadiens/Carolina Hurricanes Stanley Cup conference final in Montreal, last Monday night.
A few nights later, he passed away. His passing was shock enough, given that he was only 60 years old. Then it came out that he committed suicide, sending shock waves through the hockey community and through the sports world.
You just never know what’s happening out of the limelight. He leaves behind a wife and four sons. Hopefully he has some peace, now.
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Stay In Bed

There are some days, where you checked the news first thing in the morning, while still in bed and are tempted to stay in bed all day.
Being in Alberta, with a forecast of a hot summer, I have five long months, ahead, of heated rhetoric from the separatist camp, until voting day of October 19. Social media is already heating up big-time.
In the states, the redistricting gerrymandering, is forecast to add 10 additional seats for the Republicans. Democracy is dying in America.
Iran and the US are back at it again with strikes launched by both sides. Iran is building up It’s missile capability again as shown in the image above.
Benjamin Netanyahu has ordered his Israeli armed forces to take control of 70% of Gaza an increase over the current 53%. So tensions will flare up big time in Gaza.
And top it off, Ebola is raising its ugly head in Africa. Steps have been made to ensure that it stays in Africa. Hopefully it will. Because if it doesn’t, we could be going back into Covid times
I’m in the interior BC today where it’s gonna be hot. So even though I’m tempted to stay in bed with all this bad news, I won’t be. Maybe we should all just take a break from the news.
That’s all I have for today.
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Travel Day

Back tomorrow.
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Yet Again

An agreement was even closer this time. Just a couple words holding the agreement up. Oil prices went down. The Dow again went up. Peace was at hand after 12 weeks of a supposed four week war. This time it was really gonna happen even if it’s just a one page memorandum of understanding, it really was gonna happen for sure.
So the US bombs Iran last night and Iran is threatening retaliation again and Trump is saying all the uranium is gonna be removed. So we’re back at square one again. Oil prices are back up and, for now, for whatever reason, the Dow is still going up. Great for anybody with 401(k)s.
This time Trump throws in a new wrinkle by mentioning the Abraham accords, an agreement signed by some countries in the Middle East, recognizing Israel as a legitimate entity. This time, Trump is asking for other countries to join in such as Egypt, Syria, and Pakistan. He is suggesting that even Iran would sign into the accord. This is at a time when Israel and Iran are at war with each other, and Israel is increasing its attacks in Lebanon.
The next time this on again off again, circus happens, and it will, I just might use this same post and see if anyone notices,
That’s all I have for today.
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Games On

There are approximately 160 days until Danielle Smith’s referendum to have a referendum will be held, on October 19. The separatist movement is facing struggles right now. It started with the voter ID leak fiasco a few weeks back. There have been linkages to US right wing movements. Also, Danielle Smith’s announcement of a referendum to have a referendum has caused strife within separatist ranks. Many of the separatists wanted a referendum question immediately.
Meanwhile, there were a number of Canada unity rallies in Alberta during the weekend, including in Edmonton Calgary and Spruce Grove.
A look at social media appears to show a strong sentiment for the unity side and less support on the separatist side. That is not to downplay the separatist side at all. They are strong in their beliefs and will push for a yes vote on the October 19 referendum question. So anything can happen between now and then.
One thing that the Canada unity movement has going for it is the upcoming July 1 Canada Day. This is a gift falling into the unity movement laps and they no doubt take full advantage of it.
That’s all I have for today.
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Not So Easy

Back, in February 2022, Vladimir Putin decided to invade Ukraine. I still remember pictures of Russian tanks lining up on a Ukrainian highway on their way to Kyiv. Kind of a stupid move because they were easy prey for drones.
It is now four years later and Russia is facing drone attacks from Ukraine, even into Moscow. It is estimated that that 30,000 to 50,000 Russian troops are being killed or seriously injured each month. Not each year, but each month. This is far greater than what the US suffered back in Vietnam. Dissension is strife in Russia right now. There are shortages. The economy is hurting. Families are losing their sons and fathers at a horrendous rate. This is made worse by those military veterans coming back from the Ukrainian front. Many of them are suffering PTSD and many of them are going into crime. It is going so bad that Putin spends a lot of time in underground bunkers.
His number of public appearances has diminished.
Donald Trump attacked Iran in March of this year. We are almost into June. He thought that the war would be over in a couple days, especially after wiping out 48 members of Iranian leadership on the initial day of attack. He said at most this excursion would last maybe four or five weeks. It is now week 12. The Strait of Hormuz it’s still closed. Gas prices at the pump have skyrocketed. Soon shortages of oil related products are going to start hitting home. Furthermore, inflation is up to almost 4%.
This weekend, Trump is again saying that negotiations are progressing and an agreement is close. I’ve lost count of the number of times he has said this.
Let me get this out right now. Iran is a very bad actor. But, right now, they’re holding all the cards, it seems. It is possible that the current negotiations could end up with an agreement to end of war. But there is no way that this agreement will even come close to the agreement that Obama made a number of years ago with Iran. Trump will have to live with that. It will most likely cost Republicans the house and the Senate in November.
Donald and Vlad, this hasn’t been as easy as you thought it would be, has it?
That’s all I have for today.
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Jeffrey Rath

This is Jeffrey Rath. He is legal council for the Alberta Prosperity Project (APP). The APP are seeking separation from Canada. Members of the APP, including Rath, have sought support from US interests such as the Trump administration.

The text above shows how strident a separatist Rath is. He is known to make controversial, out of the park statements, such as the following,
“The Americans see it within their national interest both under the Monroe Doctrine, that has been around forever, and their new national security strategy to support Alberta independence and freeing the third-largest oilfield in the world from control by the Communist Chinese.”
Rath was also quoted as saying the following, with regard to meetings in Washington,
“To explore the benefits of either Alberta becoming an independent sovereign nation with economic union to the United States, becoming a U.S. territory, or pursuing full statehood.”
Rath’s company, Rath and Company, was involved in a dispute between the company and the TallCree Band, a few years ago. The company represented the Band in negotiations between the band and the federal government on an agricultural benefits settlement. The band claimed that the 20% contingency fee, charged by the company, was too high given the amount of work done by the company in arranging the settlement.
Given that the settlement totalled over $55 million, Rath’s company had a payday of over $11 million.
A judge reviewed the case and determined that the $11 million payment was much too high given the work that was performed. The judge noted that much of the work were emails that were ‘ created and signed’ by the company’s paralegal. As a result, the company actually received a substantially lower amount of payment, totalling $3 million, after the judge’s findings. The company appealed the decision to the Supreme Court of Canada, but that court decided not to hear the case.
This is an example of who will be representing the separatists in their fight for separation from Canada. The federalist side will need to be at the top of their game this summer because things are going to get down and dirty.
That’s all I have for today.
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Self-Made Mess

Danielle, you did this to yourself. Political commentator Andrew Coyne said it best and I am paraphrasing here ‘ when you ride the tiger sometimes you end up inside the tiger’.
Danielle made her address to the province last night, an address which she pre-recorded the night before. In trying to address the growing referendum boondoggle, she stated that it was not time to kick the can down the road and then she did exactly that.
When the Forever Canadian petition movement started, the intention was for the legislature to decide on the question. The separatists then got involved with their own petition, pushing for a referendum and tied Danielle in knots, given the legality of the separatist question and the legality of even having a referendum.
So Danielle tied herself in knots, and Alberta is going to have a referendum in October to decide whether there should be a referendum on separation. That’s right folks. A referendum on having a referendum.
Here’s the question that’s going to be voted on
“Should Alberta remain a province of Canada, or should the Government of Alberta commence the legal process required under the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether or not Alberta should separate from Canada?”
You did not read that wrong. Albertans will be voting on this referendum to decide on whether a second referendum will be held.
If Danielle was hoping to appease critics, she got no help there.
Jeff Rath, lawyer for the Stay Free Alberta separatist group, stated
“She’s just alienated the most hardcore portion of her base…. The 301,620 people that signed the petition are smart enough to see through it, and she has just created an unstoppable political force in the province of Alberta that will be rallying against her.”
Yep, they want to kick her out of office. Cam Davies, leader of the Republican Party of Alberta, a separatist party, added
“A vote to have a vote is the literal definition of kicking the can down the road.”
Meanwhile, Naheed Menshi, leader of the NDP party, the official opposition party in Alberta, vowed,
“This spring and summer, we’re going to be knocking on doors, we’re going to be talking to our neighbours, we’re going to be mobilizing, we’re going to make sure that Danielle Smith and the separatists get the defeat they so richly deserve.”
Thomas Lukaszuk, backbone behind the Forever Canadian group, said it best,
“Danielle Smith decided that six months of a divisive campaign and economic damage to Alberta isn’t long enough. She wants to hold a referendum on holding a referendum to break up Canada.”
He is exactly right. Prior to Smith’s address last night social media has already been heating up on both sides of the question. Now, Albertans will be going through a long hot summer of divisiveness and discord, before the vote is held in October. Thanks a lot, Danielle.
That’s all I have for today.
