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Time To Party
The liberal party, led by Mark Carney, will be holding theirconvention in Montreal this weekend. The liberals are riding on an unbelievable hot streak right now. A fifth MP, four of them being conservative, have crossed over to the liberals. As of right now, with three vacant seats the liberals hold a majority. There will be three by elections next Monday and the liberals need only one to keep that majority
Mark Carney, as liberal leader, has an approval rating of anywhere between 63 and 68%. The liberal party is a whole has a lead of around 15% over the conservatives. This is at a time when the economic outlook is not all that rosy.
How is this happening? David Coletto, CEO of the polling firm, Abacus Data, explains
“ people still overwhelmingly believe that the cause of the pain is not Mark Carney or not the decisions that the liberal government are making – it’s Donald Trump”
There you have it. It was only 16 months ago that Pierre Poilievre and the conservatives had a 20 point lead over the liberals. Just 16 months ago. A couple of months later Mark Carney was chosen to lead the liberal party. Two months after that the liberals won the election. Mark Carney focussed on what Trump was doing and the damage that Trump was doing not only to Canada, but the world. He still keeps the spotlight on Trump as evidenced by his speech, in Switzerland, a couple of months ago. Poilievre, did not focus on Trump during the election campaign and still, to this day, avoids talking about Donald Trump. As a result, the conservative party is haemorrhaging and Poilievre’s approval rating is tanking
Remember that he did get an 87% approval rating a couple months back at his leadership review. But that approval rating was given by only 3000 members who showed up at the review and who had to pay $1000 for the privilege of attending the review
For now, the liberals are riding highand the conservatives and most likely Poilievre himself are doing a lot of soul-searching.
The liberals have to remember, though, it took only two months for the conservative lead, prior to the election, to evaporate. The liberals themselves cannot rest on their laurels.
That’s all I have for today.
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Cease What?
A couple of hours before the 8 PM deadline, it was announced that a two week ceasefire had been agreed to between Iran and the US. That is good news, no matter how you put it. The price of oil has plummeted down and the Dow Jones rose over 1000 in response to this announcement.
But, and there’s always a but, there is complete confusion as to the elements of the ceasefire. Both sides claimed they have won complete victories with the other side backing down. The US claims that Iran’ naval and air forces are completely destroyed. This is true. However, the naval and air force basically consisted of military hardware given to Iran by the US over 50 years ago. So in that sense, the US was successful in destroying destroying their own military hardware.
US is saying that the Iran has brought into much of the 15 point US peace plan. Donald Trump is saying that the Iranian 10 point piece plan is something that US could work with. I find that hard to believe considering that the Iranian peace plan calls for total withdrawal of US forces from bases in the Middle East, reparations for damage inflicted on Iran and for Israel to stop its attacks on Lebanon. Israel says that Lebanon is not part of the ceasefire and they will continue attacking Hezbollah forces within Lebanon.
When does war started, the Strait of Hormuz was open. Now it appears to be under Iranian control and Iran may continue collecting tolls of up to $2 million per vessel.
Iran still has their enriched uranium. The US says that Iran will get rid of this uranium. Iran has said nothing about this. Oh, and by the way, Israel is still sending missiles into Iran and Iran is still sending missiles into Israel and other Middle Eastern countries.
So if you think this whole soap opera is over, it’s not. Not even close.
That’s all I have for today.
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Just Wow
This is not a parody. The supposed leader of the free world posted this on his true social account.
Donald, you are completely deranged. This is on you and all your yes people in your administration and in Congress. If you go through with this insanity, you will be remembered right up there with Stalin and Mussolini. Depending on how this goes, you might also be compared to Hitler. Who knows
Iran has been a civilization, on its various forms for almost 2800 years. Your post says you’re going to wipe it out tonight. That is something not really to be proud of.
Almost 6 weeks ago, Iran was regarded as the bad guy, the evil empire. You have done, what no other person has done in the last 47 years with regard to Iran. You have turned the regime into a sympathetic figure who are being admired for their bravery against tyrannical US. Only you could’ve managed that.
If you go through with your threat tonight, you will be committing war crimes, even greater than those committed by Putin in his war against Ukraine. You will become Russia many times over. This will be your legacy.
No one knows what fresh hell you will cause if you go through with your threat tonight. But, we will soon find out cause we’ll be stuck on the ride with you.
That’s all I have.
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New Deadline
Donald Trump, on late Friday/early Saturday, told Iran that if the Strait was not opened in 48 hours he would start bombing power plants in Iran. That would’ve set a deadline of Monday morning. On Sunday, it became apparent that this deadline was pushed back to 8 PM eastern time Tuesday night. The deadline was set at the same time period, as his profanity laced post.
A cease-fire proposal was floated around late Sunday and early Monday. Iran has rejected the proposal and is demanding a total end to the war.
Donald Trump is angry. He knows that the Strait has to be open. Even though he claims that the US does not need any oil through the Strait, the US would still be affected by global oil prices. This morning gas at the pumps in the US averages $4.12 per gallon.
Iran in its various forms has been around since 700 BC. This is not their first rodeo. Where Trump‘s profanity laced post was a message of threat to Iran. Iranian leaders saw the message and, possibly correctly so, as an act of desperation. They know that Trump wants out of this war as soon as possible. They know that Trump wants an offramp that will make him look like he won something.
In that sense, Iran has all the cards. If Donald Trump goes through with his attack on power plants, it would be considered a war crime. The US would be doing to Iran, what Russia is doing to Ukraine.
Donald Trump has managed the impossible. Where Iran was seen as evil just two months ago now they are a sympathetic figure. Unbelievable.
That’s all I have for today.
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Lost It
When I first saw this on social media, I thought it was a parody, a joke post. Sadly, it is not. The supposed leader of the free world posted this on his truth social.
Trump is backed into a corner. This time he has to make good on his threat. He knows that the Dow Jones will tank. He knows that oil prices will skyrocket even higher. But he has to come through on his threat because he will be looked at as a pussy, if he does not TACO pussy, It will be Iran, grabbing him by the pussy. If he could say the F word on his post, I think I can say the P word here.
All hell will break loose, but I don’t think it’s gonna be only on Iran. We can only shake our heads at this point.
That’s all I have for today.
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Seemed Like A Good Idea
Five weeks ago today, the US and Israel launched a coordinated attack on Iran. The strike resulted in the death of the supreme leader, and 48 other top Iranian officials. It was an attempt to decapitate Iranian leadership and it seems like a good idea at the time.
I myself admit to the fact that I pulled a 2004 presidential candidate John Kerry flop flip. I supported the attack and now I’m against it.
I assumed that Trump and Hegseth had a long-term follow up plan as to what to do next to bring this to a quick conclusion. You know what assuming does.
Here we are five weeks later. The Strait of Hormuz is closed to all traffic, except Russian and Chinese ships and to those ships willing to pay a $2 million Iranian toll. So Iran is now making money on this. Gas prices are shooting sky high for countries all over the world. Regime change has occurred, with the current regime being more hardline than the regime that was replaced. Iran still has all the enriched uranium needed to produce a nuclear weapon. And now a US aircraft has been shot down and one of the two pilots missing.
On a personal level, this is a disaster Donald Trump. Iran is starting to look more and more like Iraq, especially if the US puts boots on the ground. The trouble is Iran is a much larger country. The enriched uranium is in the middle of the country and it would be almost impossible to extract without major casualties. If Trump was to quit the war right now. It would be with his tail between his legs and he won’t do that. His narcissism will not allow him to do that.
But it did seem like a good idea at the time didn’t it Donald?
That’s all I have for today.
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Why Fired?
So why did Donald Trump let go of his favorite, Pam Bondi?
Donald Trump would probably give you a bunch of reasons. Pam Bondi did say that she had the Epstein list on her desk. She lied. Was it because of her February photo op where she handed out binders of Epstein file documentation to conservative influencers? Turned out that all the information in those binders was information already available to the public. The influencers were not pleased.
Maybe it was when she claimed that there were 10,000 videos of Epstein child porn in the files. We are still waiting for video one.
Maybe it was when she refused to acknowledge the Epstein survivors during testimony. She was asked to turn around and apologize to them and she just ignored the request.
Maybe it was because she was a failure in implementing Trump‘s retribution campaign. She tried to indict Jim Comey, Leticia, James, Adam Schiff and others with all of her attempts, failing miserably.
Trump could rationalize the firing with a number of reasons. But the key reason is as as follows. Pam Bondi was subpoenaed, in a bipartisan manner, to appear before the house oversight committee on April 14. She would’ve had to testify under oath about the Epstein files. Trump simply could not allow that. By firing her, Trump hopes to remove her from this. He might not be successful, though. Even though Pam Bondi is no longer Attorney General, she still may be forced to testify. Republican attempts to remove her from this obligation will only make the Republicans and Trump himself, look even worse than they already are looking. So this is not over yet.
That’s all I have for today.
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Trump Speech Flop
Donald Trump gave me a strong sense of déjà vu last night, with his speech. It sounded exactly like the speeches he made in the early days of Covid. Back, then he was telling the American people that he had it under control that Covid was just a minor thing, that it would be gone in a couple weeks, that if would just go away, poof.
Last night, as I predicted in my chirp, yesterday, Trump said that he had Iran under control, it would be over in a couple ofweeks, that regime change had been accomplished, and he was dealing with a more responsible regime. He also said that the Strait of Hormuz would, poof, just open naturally
Donald pulled an April fools on everybody yesterday. Stock markets had shot up in anticipation of him saying that the war was ending. What Donald actually said last night was that he would bomb Iran back to the stone age.
I teased a friend last week for watching Melania. Well, I wasted 20 minutes of my life yesterday watching Trump speak. So I guess the April fools joke was on me.
So where are we this morning? The Dow Jones is already down 700 points and it just opened and the price of oil is up 10% overnight. Don the con strikes again.
That’s all I have for today.
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Fool Us Once
Donald Trump will be speaking in front of the US nation, this upcoming April fools night. He is going to be telling us some whoppers. He has already sounded some of it out.
He will tell us that he accomplished regime change in Iran. Well, a number of top leaders have been killed off, but they have been replaced with leaders who appear even more hardline than the original leaders. I would not be surprised if he says he has met with some of these leaders and that they had tears in their eyes and that they were saying, sir we want to make a deal with you.
He will say that Iran’s nuclear capability has been destroyed. Funny thing is he said the same thing last summer when the US bombed Iran’s nuclear sites. Iran still has all of its enriched uranium.
He will say that US is a better shape now than they were a month ago even though gas prices have risen by $1.05 per gallon.
He will say that the US has won this war just like he said on election night 2020 that he won the election.
This next statement depends on what he decides. If he pushes on the statement that the US is won this war he might say that he’s done with the war and he’s pulling out. The Strait of Hormuz will still be closed. Or, he will say that the war will be ended in two weeks time. Do you remember how many times he said that the end of Covid was just around the corner? I do.
Logically, no one will fall for all the BS he’s going to spout tonight. We are no longer in a land of logic, however. The Dow Jones went up 1000 points yesterday and the Dow Jones futures this morning is up 300 points. So there are still a bunch of suckers around.
Logic has left the building. More evidence of this is the fact that the January 6 rioters are suing the Capitol police for the tactics that the Capitol police used on that day, defending Congress.
That is all I have for today.
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Exit Please
Donald, you’ve been getting up on the wrong side of the bed a lot lately haven’t you? Boy you had a ton of anger at Europe this morning.
“France has been VERY UNHELPFUL with respect to the “Butcher of Iran,” who has been successfully eliminated! The U.S.A. will REMEMBER!!!”
“All of those countries that can’t get jet fuel because of the Strait of Hormuz, like the United Kingdom, which refused to get involved in the decapitation of Iran, I have a suggestion for you: Number 1, buy from the U.S., we have plenty, and Number 2, build up some delayed courage, go to the Strait, and just TAKE IT.”
Donald, you are really all over the place. Yesterday you said negotiations were going great and in the same breath, you said you were gonna bomb the crap out of Iran. Today you’re saying screw it you’re just gonna leave let other countries worry about the Strait of Hormuz.
Donald, when you started this a month ago, all by yourself, except for Israel, the Strait of Hormuz was open and gas in your country averaged three dollars per gallon. Well, the Strait is now closed, Iran wants to start establishing tolls and gas is now over four dollars per gallon in your country. Just a month ago Pam Bondi was telling everybody that the Dow was near 50,000 and now it’s down at 45,000. Good job, Donald, good job.
And now you want to leave, well today anyway who knows what tomorrow? You’re like a pigeon Donald. You go somewhere you drop a bunch of crap and then you move on.
You want out Donald. You’re going to look like a loser for doing so. But then again, you look like a loser right now too, so good on you Donald.
That’s all I have for today.
Bird's Chirp
So I don't have to put it on Facebook anymore….