Regime Change

The phrase ‘ regime change’ has been getting a lot of air play lately. If there is anything that history has taught us, it should be that regime change must come from within. It cannot be forced must from outside.

The US should know this better than anybody. The US tried to bring regime changed to Afghanistan from 2001 until a couple years ago. It cost the US $2.3 trillion and over 2500 lives. The end result is the Taliban.

George Bush declared victory in Iraq a couple months into the Iraq war in 2003. Over 4000 American military lives and hundreds of thousands of Iraqi civilian lives lost. Iraq is still unstable today.

Regime change attempts, even from within, does not guarantee a successful outcome. Libya replaced Khadafi from within and today it is a failed state.

Two examples of what could be called successful regime changes from within occurred in 1959 in Cuba with the uprising that resulted in Fidel Castro coming to power and Iran with Khoumeini and the Iranian revolutionary guard over throwing the Shah, in 1980.

Now, 45 years later, Israel and the US, as silent partner, is pushing for regime change in Iran. No matter what happens it will be very messy with many lives lost. There have been regime change attempts from within Iran over the past few years. It was women who led to fight a couple of years ago. The movement was crushed, painfully so with lives lost.

No matter what happens, the end result will be a mess. Make no mistake about this, Iran is a very bad actor, with its current regime. But what could come out could be worse. Though that is hard to imagine.

That is all I have today.

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