It is early days. Day two actually of the US takeover of Venezuela. Trump has already said that the US will be running Venezuela, for the time being. Trump is also saying that no one in Venezuela is capable at this time to run the country. Trump also promised to invest big time in the oil infrastructure in the country which he claims has been run down terribly by the Maduro regime

The US does not had a good history of regime change. One just needs to point out Iraq and Afghanistan and, before that, Vietnam. Things will not go as smoothly as Trump imagines.

But there’s a bigger issue on the table here, too. The world has just seen Trump and the US take over a country with so far little consequence. Putin is looking at this and saying, wow, what’s the difference between Trump taking Venezuela and him taking Ukraine. Putin can claim that US has lost any legitimacy in supporting Ukraine.

There’s also a third actor in this, and that of course is China. China is looking at the US taking Venezuela and they are saying well if they can do it, why should we not be able to take Taiwan. They could easily rationalize this by saying that if the supposed leader of the free world is doing this, then China has every right to do the same,

We need to remember that we have left the land of it just can’t happen. Anything can happen.

That’s all I have for today.